Archive for June 11th, 2009|Daily archive page

today – mnd – cfe

opened MND – broke through resistance on open, so trigger fired. Originally found a month ago on heat map.  EOD closed down, so technically should not have entered – I pulled the trigger too early as I normally engage on end of day prices.

opened CFE – huge volume on open, highest high in ~6months, and appeared to close the gap that was opened in October last year.  Looking for the gap window to switch from resistance band to support band.  Similar to MND above – close is low.  I traded CFE poorly last time (a reason for setting up this blog) so will stick to exit plans this time.

Both trades discretionary.  Market generally bullish.

Systems

I run a couple of systems, noted here so my other posts make some sort of sense.

System A:  A long term trading system that looks for long term trends in the ASX200.   Currently reviews 200 trading days for constant(ish) growth, and looks to take a position from a week to a number of months looking for share price increase.  As you may guess, given the ASX over the last year, its a long time since this system signalled an entry.

System B: Not finalised.  Essentially a shorter term trend following system based on ‘System A’.   As ‘System A’ is written in C++, I am updating the code to remove a number of assumptions that I use in the share selection component to look for 3 month trends with other criteria similar, possibly extending outside of the ASX200.  Some more coding to do – then testing.   By the time I get there ‘System A’ may be running again… who knows.

So – System B has been redefined in March 2012 – see here

discretionary:  ok – not really system based.  Born out of the current world financial situation… what can I say.  When my systems generate nothing, I revert to bits that interest me – in this case, shorts and pattern recognition.  Almost all of my trades for the last 5 months have been discretionary – I get tips from a ‘heat map’ provided in real time by my broker, weekly volume increases, large candles and other signs I look for that tell me ‘there’s activity here’.  Chart patterns are a favorite.  Is it a cup n saucer I see formed in Fairfax today?

All systems have a money management component regarding stop setting and weighting by sector and as a whole of the portfolio.  These are not detailed as I do not want to be seen to be offering any financial advice.

I am not a financial adviser, and I am not offering advice – just a guy with an interest

Dawn

So, my first ever blog. Dawn if you will.

My intention is to place trade analysis in this blog – the main reason being so I can cast a critical eye over my own trading activity.

In the interests of keeping this ‘manageable’ in the first instance I will only be logging my trading on the ASX.  I trade other areas, including occasionally Forex, options over ASX shares, CFDs as a tool to gain leverage with managed risk on shares, warrants on ASX, futures on indexes or commodities, indexes via CFDs – ie: most of the readily available retail markets.  Areas other than ASX may get a comment, but not in the plan for now.

See the entries and exits here.