Archive for November 6th, 2009|Daily archive page

today – open wtf

wtf 6-11-09

wtf open

WTF:  Opened a position in Wotif.com today at $6.01 on open when my buy trigger fired and placed an order for me.

I had the trigger set to fire when the share went through the flat resistance line drawn across the earlier high, which coincides with the earlier highs about 2 years ago.  These earlier highs are not penetrated at this stage so this may be an early entry, but I spose I’ll know that when I close the trade.

The outlying chart formation is  roughly a broadening ascending wedge, still in formation as there has only been two traversals of the wedge, and 3 is preferred to actually qualify.  The ‘inner formation’ is a very rough ascending triangle – again not ideal as not enough bounces from trend lines – but the bit I do like about this is that the last dip before the end of the triangle has not made it to the trendline and bounced on out.  Often a good sign.

(The keen pattern follower will actually say my ascending triangle is not one at all, that its closer to an inverted head n shoulders, and I myself would say its a squiggle – but I’m calling it this, because as stated a few times earlier I am not too fussed about entries.  Its what I do after the entry that counts.)

The disappointing thing about the the days trade was that the volume was low for this share – maybe the only entries were a couple of us that had triggers fired.  Also a doji style formation was made, generally indicating indecision. For a breakout from an ascending triangle in general you want good breakout volume to have confirmation of the breakout.

So – in closing – remember to take those stops when they come, as I intend to do with this and all my trades.

today – buy okn, wan

okn 5-11-09

Oakton re-entry

OKN:  Opened a position in Oakton today at 3.40.

I exited the last Oakton trade when I hit a double top, which has now been clearly penetrated (smashed?) giving a strong run up to a the high for the year so far.

The share appears to be in an uptrend (higher highs, lower lows), so I have bought in where the share seems to be finding support.

Reasons against taking the trade?  The high point in the chart is a nice example of a shooting star, a typical reversal signal.  The top of that shooting star is clos-ish to the most recent significant highest high in August 2008.  This may cap my upside, but if that is penetrated, then this is a good trade.  Lets see where this goes.

Downside is limited due to closeness to next support line, and upwards trend line.

wan 5-11-09

wan - another re-entry

WAN:  Opened a position in West Australian News today at 7.80.  Volume has been good the last two days, and days have been closing at or near daily tops for a while now – in spite of the large number of down days recently in the general market.

Looking for a bounce on the current upwards trendline – and hopefully not too much resistance at the recent high.  Looking at todays chart looks like it may be a distinct possibility.

As I sign off for the night, the US markets are opening well, so if this pushes through resistance tomorrow this may be one to watch.

Even though it is new media.. so as a keeper this doesn’t make sense to me!