Archive for July 7th, 2009|Daily archive page

trade idea – bhp

bhp - breakout (failed) ascending broadening wedge?

bhp - breakout (failed) ascending broadening wedge?

BHP: trade idea.

The graph to the right is BHP from today.  The price action today is a confirmation of the failure of an ascending broadening wedge.  From my chart patterns bible I can see that these don’t usually give a large fall, however a fall is expected.  I am interested in taking this short trade, but given my view of the all ords at the moment I’ll sit out for a day or two whilst I see what the flavour is on the ASX.

ASX All ordinaries

ASX All ordinaries (weekly)

Looking at the ASX:XAO (to the right) the graph is on the cusp of its next ‘decision point’ or move.  If the graph were to fall out of the bands I’ve sketched I would look to short soemthing, and at the moment, BHP could fit the bill.

Of course – until I commit a cent, this is all just an idea…

Remember – wait for confirmation of a move, in line with the overall market.

today – cxs

Chemgenex trade

Chemgenex trade

CXS: today closed a position in CXS for a 4% loss.  For a share that ha gone up nicley over the last few months, that hurts a bit.  I got stopped out at 60c, which is helpful – if it hadn’t fallen so far I planned to exit when the share fell below the upwards trend line.

The original entry was selected for two reasons: firstly an intraday breakout through the resistance line, and secondly because of the very high volume that time – the share came to my attention through a ‘heat’ style market map.

Gotta say – the years not getting off to a very good start!!

Looking through my graphs tonight, I’ve trigged a few stops and given the action on the US markets tonight I guess we may gap down on opening – so I expect to experiance some pain tommorrow.

On another note – the System A scan on the weekend returned nothing.